Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.006388 0.007367 0.008511 0.009962 0.011780 0.014016 0.017027
2025-10-26 0.005089 0.006283 0.007822 0.010011 0.013149 0.017662 0.025024
2025-11-02 0.004290 0.005524 0.007220 0.009824 0.013929 0.020586 0.033327
2025-11-09 0.003660 0.004849 0.006554 0.009315 0.013989 0.022304 0.040504
2025-11-16 0.003221 0.004365 0.006063 0.008939 0.014108 0.024105 0.048977
2025-11-23 0.002987 0.004143 0.005921 0.009080 0.015145 0.028047 0.065643
2025-11-30 0.002737 0.003863 0.005643 0.008921 0.015558 0.030841 0.082160
2025-12-07 0.002502 0.003579 0.005318 0.008617 0.015588 0.032756 0.098311
2025-12-14 0.002332 0.003381 0.005112 0.008496 0.015977 0.035796 0.123704
2025-12-21 0.002250 0.003316 0.005126 0.008800 0.017417 0.042630 0.182560
2025-12-28 0.002197 0.003295 0.005210 0.009261 0.019390 0.052624 0.299983
2026-01-04 0.002104 0.003197 0.005143 0.009385 0.020540 0.060743 0.455591
2026-01-11 0.001973 0.003031 0.004948 0.009242 0.021054 0.067541 0.683782
2026-01-18 0.001876 0.002917 0.004844 0.009297 0.022221 0.079024 1.260118
2026-01-25 0.001765 0.002771 0.004660 0.009128 0.022642 0.087556 2.202183
2026-02-01 0.001638 0.002584 0.004375 0.008669 0.021955 0.089151 3.076815
2026-02-08 0.001534 0.002433 0.004151 0.008327 0.021589 0.092725 4.908906
2026-02-15 0.001482 0.002375 0.004113 0.008455 0.022966 0.110963 20.996986
2026-02-22 0.001411 0.002277 0.003980 0.008312 0.023283 0.122126 113.459675
2026-03-01 0.001336 0.002164 0.003807 0.008035 0.022992 0.127895 1456.385942
2026-03-08 0.001279 0.002085 0.003699 0.007925 0.023363 0.141557 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001256 0.002069 0.003728 0.008202 0.025537 0.182897 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001243 0.002073 0.003800 0.008619 0.028637 0.255376 NaN